Description: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has been our chosen metric for growth since the Great Depression, but expectations are for lower GDP growth going forward than we are accustomed to. Its two components, population and productivity, face headwinds—population from a declining birth rate and longevity, and productivity from increased climate events, energy costs, global conflict and raw materials shortages. Comparing demographic results from the U.S., China and Nigeria, representing countries with varying population growth rates, illustrates the potential economic growth issues of aging populations and high dependency ratios. The demographic challenges can be turned into opportunities to broaden prosperity; productivity can be improved by providing a level playing field and helping those in the lowest socioeconomic classes find opportunities. These topics and more will be discussed and enhance foresight about them.

Description: From session 14TS at a meeting of the Society of Actuaries held in San Diego, CA, June 22-23, 2000. This teaching session discusses the available tools for communicating company risk postures to senior management. The focus is on tools that show distributions of results rather than a point estimate, along with stress testing.

Description: The articles discusses how Principles-based approaches PBA to setting reserves and capital can be combined with Enterprise Risk Management to create a competitive advantage for an insurance company. Those companies can leverage these models by combining unique risks and strategies to measure and manage risk.

Description: Presented at May 2002 Spring Meeting. Attendees learn about tools used to manage enterprise risk and optimize firm value. Potential topics include economic surplus, earnings at risk, and law of one price. Attendees learn how various risk-management tools can complement each other.

Description: The Joint Risk Management Section conducted its fourth survey of emerging risks in fall 2010 in light of the BP oil spill which brought the impact of various risk combinations to the fore.

Description: This paper provides a summary of the Dec. 2012 summit of the Natural Resource Sustainability Group and invited experts.

Description: This survey attempts to track the thoughts of risk managers about emerging risks across time. It is the 14th survey of emerging risks sponsored by the Canadian Institute of Actuaries (CIA), Casualty Actuarial Society (CAS) and Society of Actuaries (SOA). The researcher thanks the Financial Reporting and Reinsurance Sections for their financial support, and the Joint Risk Management Section for logistics and governance.

Description: Discussion of an inaugural survey of the International Network of Actuarial Risk Managers to identify their view of the top five emerging risks.

Description: This is the full report summarizing the results of the 2017 Emerging Risks Survey, the eleventh in the series.

Description: This is the full research report for the thirteenth Emerging Risk Survey which summarizes the results of the survey.